Identifying Crime Patterns

Identifying Crime Patterns

Latrina Pugh

Kaplan University


Professor Moore

March 27, 2012

Pugh Town’s Police Department Crime Bulletin Report
*Police Chief Steve Doolittle*
*Crime Analyst Carmen Holt*

Crime | 2009 | 2010 | Percent of Change |
Homicides | 15 | 21 | 40.00% |
Forcible Rapes | 23 | 19 | -17.39% |
Robberies | 55 | 79 | 43.64% |
Aggravated Assaults | 85 | 115 | 35.29% |
Burglaries | 125 | 138 | 10.40% |
Motor Vehicle theft | 103 | 103 | 0.00% |
Larcenies | 35 | 38 | 8.57% |

Crime trend is defined as a significant change in the nature of selected crime types within a defined geographical area and time period. It is the measure of significant changes in an area’s crime pattern over time (US Legal, 2012).
I believe that the data for Pugh Town Police Department shows an overall increase in majority of the crimes listed. Aggravated assault shows a considerable increase, while forcible rape has a decrease. Homicides, robberies, and aggravated assaults (the most) have increased considerably. In this jurisdiction, one would think there may be some gang or drug activity going on (Siegel, 2010). Pugh Town’s population is the missing information that we don’t have that could be the reason for the increase. Maps indicating the location of incidents would be helpful to interpret the increases in these crimes. Another piece of information that might be helpful would be demographical data about the locations of the incidents; this data would contain information on unemployment rates, economical fluctuations, and ethnic makeup of the areas affected by the increase (Wilson, 2009). The crime that seems to be staying the same for this jurisdiction is motor vehicle thefts in 2009 they were 103 and in 2010 the numbers were the same 103.
Crimes in this jurisdiction that should be analyzed a little more would be the ones with the largest increase. Robberies, with a 43.64% increase, homicide, with a 40.00% increase, and...