Eur/Usd Analysis

Contents

Trade Recommendations 2
S&P Fundamental and Political Analysis 2
S&P Technical Analysis 3
EUR/USD Fundamental and Political Analysis 5
EUR/USD Technical Analysis 5
Appendix 1: Markets Presentation Data – Nikkei 225 8
Appendix 2: Markets Presentation Data – Apple Inc. 9
Appendix 3: Markets Presentation Data – HSBC Holding Plc. 10
Appendix 4: Markets Presentation Data – Walt Disney Company 12

Trade Recommendations

  Action | Price | Comment |
Market order to BUY S&P 500 | 2060 | Expected to reach this price in 1-2 weeks |
STOP LOSS | 2000 | 60 points maximum risk |
PROFIT TARGET | 2160 | 100 points potential profit |
Expected to reach target entry target within 1-2 weeks. Reward-to-Risk Ratio = 5:3

Action | Price | Comment |
Market order to SELL EUR-USD | 1.1197 | Current price today 1.1197 |
STOP LOSS | 1.1550 | 353 pips maximum risk |
PROFIT TARGET | 1.0500 | 950 potential profit |
Expected to reach target within 4-6 weeks. Reward-to-Risk Ratio = 13:5

Note: Recommendations as of March 2, 2015

S&P Fundamental and Political Analysis

The S&P 500 Index is a leading U.S. stock index based on the market capitalisation of 500 large companies listed on the NYSE or NASDAQ. It is widely considered to be the best representation of the U.S. market and the health of U.S. and global investor sentiment.

Recently, both the S&P 500 and the DJIA Indices have been reaching all-time highs, indicating strong investor sentiment. Many of the key U.S. macroeconomic data in the recent months has also been positive, with unemployment close to a 7-year low at 5.7%; strong GDP growth in 2014, and a strengthening dollar.

From a corporate perspective, earnings for Q4 2014 continue report upside surprises. Of the 443 companies that have reported Q4 earnings (as of Feb 20), 75% have been above mean estimates and 58% have reported sales above mean estimates. Data compiled by FactSet on earnings growth...